A relação entre consumo de energia e crescimento econômico no Brasil

Abstract

The dissertation aims to analyze the causal relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in Brazil between December 2002 and May 2022. The study sought references from previous studies for thematic and methodological definition, with the differences of this publication being the monthly periodicity of the series temporal sources used and the inclusion of 4 main sources (electricity, alcohol, petroleum deri- vatives and other petroleum derivatives) in order to further refine the analyzes on the adaptation of the Brazilian economy to renewable technologies and the level of develop- ment of the transition process energy. To analyze the causal relationships between the variables, the VECM, FMOLS models and the impulse response function were used. The results confirm the conservation hypothesis, that is, an effect of economic growth on energy consumption, as well as the importance of economic growth for sectoral development and, despite the relevance of fossil fuel in the dynamics with capital still being identified and with economic growth, it is also possible to detect positive effects of the energy transition process.